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Global Catastrophic Risks by [Nick Bostrom, Milan M. Cirkovic, Martin J. Rees]

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Nick Bostrom

Milan M. Cirkovic

Global Catastrophic Risks Illustrated Edition, Kindle Edition

by Nick Bostrom (Author, Editor), Milan M. Cirkovic (Author, Editor), Martin J. Rees (Contributor) Format: Kindle Edition

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A global catastrophic risk is one with the potential to wreak death and destruction on a global scale. In human history, wars and plagues have done so on more than one occasion, and misguided ideologies and totalitarian regimes have darkened an entire era or a region. Advances in technology are adding dangers of a new kind. It could happen again.

In Global Catastrophic Risks 25 leading experts look at the gravest risks facing humanity in the 21st century, including asteroid impacts, gamma-ray bursts, Earth-based natural catastrophes, nuclear war, terrorism, global warming, biological weapons, totalitarianism, advanced nanotechnology, general artificial intelligence, and social collapse. The book also addresses over-arching issues - policy responses and methods for predicting and managing catastrophes.

This is invaluable reading for anyone interested in the big issues of our time; for students focusing on science, society, technology, and public policy; and for academics, policy-makers, and professionals working in these acutely important fields.

ISBN-13

978-0199606504
Edition

Illustrated
Publisher

OUP Oxford
Publication date

3 July 2008
Language

English
File size

3180 KB
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Nick Bostrom
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Review

Review from previous edition This volume is remarkably entertaining and readable...It's risk assessment meets science fiction. ― Natural Hazards Observer

The book works well, providing a mine of peer-reviewed information on the great risks that threaten our own and future generations. ― Nature

We should welcome this fascinating and provocative book. ― Martin J Rees (from foreword)

[Provides] a mine of peer-reviewed information on the great risks that threaten our own and future generations. ― Nature --This text refers to the paperback edition.

About the Author

Nick Bostrom, PhD, is Director of the Future of Humanity Institute, in the James Martin 21st Century School, at Oxford University. He previously taught at Yale University in the Department of Philosophy and in the Yale Institute for Social and Policy Studies. He is the author of more than 130 publications including many in leading academic journals, and his writings have been translated into more than 16 different languages. Bostrom pioneered the concept of existential risk. He developed the first mathematically explicit theory of observation selection effects. He also is the originator of the simulation argument and is the author of a number of seminal studies on the implications of future technologies.

Milan M. 'Cirkovi'c, PhD, is a senior research associate of the Astronomical Observatory of Belgrade, (Serbia) and a professor of Cosmology at Department of Physics, University of Novi Sad (Serbia). He received his Ph. D. in Physics from the State University of New York at Stony Brook (USA). His primary research interests are in the fields of astrophysical cosmology (baryonic dark matter, star formation, future of the universe), astrobiology (anthropic principles, SETI studies, catastrophic episodes in the history of life), as well as philosophy of science (risk analysis, future studies, foundational issues in quantum mechanics and cosmology). --This text refers to the hardcover edition.

Product details

ASIN ‏ : ‎ B003WE9D7M
Publisher ‏ : ‎ OUP Oxford; Illustrated edition (3 July 2008)
Language ‏ : ‎ English
File size ‏ : ‎ 3180 KB
Text-to-Speech ‏ : ‎ Enabled
Screen Reader ‏ : ‎ Supported
Enhanced typesetting ‏ : ‎ Enabled
X-Ray ‏ : ‎ Not Enabled
Word Wise ‏ : ‎ Enabled
Print length ‏ : ‎ 577 pages

Best Sellers Rank: #107,407 in Kindle Store (See Top 100 in Kindle Store)
- #13 in Earth Sciences eTextbooks
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Customer Reviews:
58 ratings

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Nick Bostrom
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Nick Bostrom is a Swedish-born philosopher and polymath with a background in theoretical physics, computational neuroscience, logic, and artificial intelligence, as well as philosophy. He is a Professor at Oxford University, where he leads the Future of Humanity Institute as its founding director. (The FHI is a multidisciplinary university research center; it is also home to the Center for the Governance of Artificial Intelligence and to teams working on AI safety, biosecurity, macrostrategy, and various other technology or foundational questions.) He is the author of some 200 publications, including Anthropic Bias (2002), Global Catastrophic Risks (2008), Human Enhancement (2009), and Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies (2014), a New York Times bestseller which helped spark a global conversation about artificial intelligence. Bostrom’s widely influential work, which traverses philosophy, science, ethics, and technology, has illuminated the links between our present actions and long-term global outcomes, thereby casting a new light on the human condition.
He is recipient of a Eugene R. Gannon Award, and has been listed on Foreign Policy’s Top 100 Global Thinkers list twice. He was included on Prospect’s World Thinkers list, the youngest person in the top 15. His writings have been translated into 28 languages, and there have been more than 100 translations and reprints of his works. He is a repeat TED speaker and has done more than 2,000 interviews with television, radio, and print media. As a graduate student he dabbled in stand-up comedy on the London circuit, but he has since reconnected with the doom and gloom of his Swedish roots.
For more, see www.nickbostrom.com
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Milan M. Cirkovic
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Milan M. Ćirković
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Customer reviews

4.4 out of 5

58 global ratings

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4 star		18%
3 star		6%
2 star		7%
1 star		2%

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B

An excellent summary of global catastrophic risks

Reviewed in the United Kingdom 🇬🇧 on 4 May 2015

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This is a very interesting (if depressing) summary of the spectrum of different catastrophic risks facing humanity from the obscure and unlikely such as a vacuum phase transition to very real and well known risks such as nuclear terrorism and climate change. Each risk is discussed by a different author and some chapters are evidently better than others but as a whole, topics are addressed clearly and intelligently and are generally very accessible.

As another reviewer has commented on, "obscure and unlikely" risks receive as much, if not more, attention than the more well known risks but the book makes it very clear from the onset that it is not supposed to be a manual for saving the world. Instead, it is simply trying to inform readers about global catastrophic risks as a wider issue (the book includes several chapters on sociological aspects such as cognitive biases) rather than specifically trying to help people prepare for them. I think it does this very well.

4 people found this helpful

Ken Padmore

Global Catastrophic Risks

Reviewed in the United Kingdom 🇬🇧 on 18 December 2014

Verified Purchase

Rather depressing! Tough going on the math but certainly provides food for thought. Not sure I agree on the Totalitarian sections.

One person found this helpful

Oparazzo

Apokalypsen à la carte

Reviewed in Germany 🇩🇪 on 8 April 2017

Verified Purchase

Ein vielleicht etwas morbides Interesse an der Frage, ob und wenn ja, wann und wie unsere Zivilisation ein jähes Ende finden könnte, hat mich auf diese Aufsatzsammlung gebracht. Sie basiert auf einer Konferenz, die 2008 am Future of Humanity Institute in Oxford abgehalten wurde.

Man merkt dem Buch an, dass dies eine Veranstaltung von Wissenschaftlern für Wissenschaftler war - die von mir sonst so gerne gelobte Fähigkeit und Bereitschaft anglophoner Autoren, sich für den interessierten Laien verständlich auszudrücken, ist hier sehr unterschiedlich ausgeprägt, und das ist angesichts der Vielfalt der vertretenen Fakultäten etwas schade. Naturwissenschaftliche Vorbildung sowie eine gewisse Bereitschaft, sich mit Zahlen auseinanderzusetzen, sind jedenfalls bei den meisten Themen von Nutzen.

Auch wenn ein paar Randgebiete reingerutscht sind - milleniaristische Kulte haben mit echten Katastrophen wenig zu tun, und den Artikel über Für und Wider alleskönnender Nanofabrikchen fand ich etwas sehr verspielt-hypothetisch - haben andere dafür umso mehr Substanz, wie die über Asteroiden, Kometen oder Supervulkane. Sehr eindrucksvoll auch das Kapitel über künstliche Intelligenz und die Gedanken, die man sich tunlichst gemacht haben sollte, bevor diese sich dem Einfluss ihrer Macher entzieht. Beim Kapitel über den Klimawandel war ich mir nicht sicher, ob hier nicht zu viel hinterfragt, zu wenig gewarnt und damit den interessengesteuerten Leugnern zu viel Munition an die Hand gegeben wurde.

Das könnte aber auch damit zusammenhängen, dass das Buch inzwischen fast zehn Jahre alt ist. Das merkt man nicht nur daran, das Osama bin Laden noch lebt und es den IS noch nicht gibt, sondern es wird auch eine so unmittelbar drohende Gefahr wie die multiresistenter Keime nur in einem Absatz gestreift. Dass ein Sonnensturm wie der von 1859, der unser Kommunikationsnetz weltweit und langfristig lahmlegen würde, nicht als Risiko eingeschätzt wird, hat mich ebenfalls sehr gewundert (2012 hätte es uns fast wieder erwischt). Und schließlich dürften auch die Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeit einer nuklearen Katastrophe heute etwas anders eingeschätzt werden, angesichts der Tatsache, dass ein inkompetenter Narzisst und ein undurchsichtiger Diktator die Finger an den jeweiligen Roten Knöpfen haben.

Das sind, zugegebenermaßen, alles nur persönliche, den Blick möglicherweise verstellende Sichtweisen - vor dem cognitive bias wird in dem Buch nicht nur einmal ausdrücklich gewarnt.

One person found this helpful

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carlos sidnei coutinho

Imperial Superpower Myth: End of Pax Americana

Reviewed in Brazil 🇧🇷 on 23 August 2019

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Atendeu minhas expectativas.

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Ted booker

Too complicated to enjoy reading. Very scientific.

Reviewed in the United States 🇺🇸 on 19 January 2022

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I like the fact that it goes into great detail on the one hand but it’s too technical for the average or even semi advanced reader. With complex math and graphs and scientific jargon.

I was really looking for a book that explained impending events like the collapse of western civilization and the hacking of the American power grid. This book is more from a global perspective as the name says. It talks about asteroids and volcanic super eruptions and spends an inordinate amount of time explaining highly technical DNA and genetics.

The book is hard to read and hard to follow unless you’re a scientist.

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